How we form The House View
The House View is the Crypto House desk’s transparent read on the market. This page explains exactly how we form it — the live technical inputs we use, the human judgment we add, how often we update, and where our limits are. If the process ever drifts from what is written here, the page is wrong and we will fix it.
What The House View is (and is not)
The House View is a dated, published stance on Bitcoin, Ethereum and a handful of major assets, expressed as an honest bias — constructive, neutral or cautious — with the reasoning shown in full. It is context to help you understand the market, not a recommendation and never a price target. We do not tell anyone to buy or sell, we do not promise outcomes, and we do not publish anonymous calls: every stance carries the collective Crypto House desk byline and a date.
The technical inputs
Half of each stance is mechanical. We compute a consistent set of indicators from public Binance daily closing prices — up to a year of history — and read them the same way for every asset. These are descriptive measures of what price has already done, not forecasts of what it will do next:
Price vs moving averages
Simple moving averages over 20, 50 and 200 days, plus 12- and 26-day exponential averages, computed from daily closes. Where price sits relative to the 50- and 200-day lines defines the trend label (uptrend, downtrend or mixed).
Momentum (RSI & MACD)
A 14-day Relative Strength Index and the MACD histogram (12/26/9). RSI above 70 is flagged as overbought and below 30 as oversold; the MACD histogram shows whether near-term momentum is building or fading.
Support & resistance
The 30-day low and high, shown as context for where price has recently found a floor or a ceiling. These are observations, never targets.
Volatility & drawdown
Annualised volatility from daily returns, and the maximum peak-to-trough drawdown across the window — a measure of how much risk the asset has actually carried.
Trailing returns
Price change over 7, 30, 90 and roughly 365 days, so a stance is grounded in how the asset has actually performed, not in a hunch.
A rule-based posture
Each indicator casts a mechanical buy / neutral / sell vote; the net tally becomes a descriptive posture (from bullish to bearish). It is a summary of the numbers, not our opinion — our opinion is added on top, in writing.
These are the same live figures you can see on every coin page and in the per-asset readout on The House View itself — nothing is computed in private.
The fundamental process (the human half)
Numbers alone miss the story, so the desk adds a written fundamental read on top of the technical picture. This is human judgment, informed by things such as an asset’s supply structure, real on-chain and network usage, liquidity, how concentrated its ecosystem is, and the regulatory backdrop. It is deliberately qualitative.
Two hard rules govern this half. First, we never invent metrics — if we cannot verify a figure from a primary source, it does not appear. Second, we distinguish the durable case for an asset from a view on its price: explaining why Bitcoin’s supply schedule matters is not the same as predicting where it trades, and we keep those separate.
How we decide the bias
The mechanical posture and the human fundamental read are weighed together into one clear label. In practice that means:
The technicals and the fundamentals broadly point the same, healthier way — for example an asset reclaiming its key averages while its underlying usage holds up. Not a “buy”, just a more favourable balance of evidence.
The signals conflict or are undecided — a mixed trend, or strong fundamentals against a weak tape. We say so plainly rather than force a call.
The weight of evidence leans risk-off — a clean downtrend, fading momentum, or a fundamental concern we cannot ignore. A flag to take more care, not a prediction of a crash.
Because the bias is always paired with the reasoning and the live readings behind it, you can check our work and disagree.
Update cadence
We refresh The House View on a roughly monthly cadence, and sooner when the market’s structure shifts materially. Every entry is stamped with the date it was written, and the technical readings shown next to the current stance are live — they update continuously even between written revisions. Older stances are kept public and unedited in the archive so the desk’s track record can be audited honestly.
The live-data caveat. Prices, indicators and the Fear & Greed reading are pulled from third-party sources and can lag, gap or briefly differ from other providers. When a value cannot be verified we show nothing rather than a placeholder or a guess.
Limitations — and our honesty about them
- Technical indicators are descriptive, not predictive. They summarise past price behaviour; markets can and do move against them.
- Past performance is not indicative of future results, and crypto is volatile and high-risk — you can lose money.
- The House View is one desk’s read, not a consensus or an insider signal. Reasonable people will disagree, and that is fine.
- Nothing here is financial, investment or trading advice. Always do your own research and, where appropriate, consult a qualified professional.
How we fact-check guides
The same honesty standard applies to our educational content. Guides and explainers are written by people, edited before publication, and source their claims — primary sources wherever possible. AI may assist with research, but it does not write article prose. Where a page carries a live price or an analytical read, it also carries a “not financial advice” note.
Correções
When we get something wrong, we fix it openly. If you spot an error — in The House View, a guide or a data point — please tell us via contact, and we log material corrections publicly at corrections.
Read the current House View →